That 2014 study, published in the journal Electoral Studies and authored by Jesse Richman, Gulshan Chattha, and David Earnest at Old Dominion University, made waves when the researchers first described their results in a Washington Post column that inspired three different rebuttals — and one additional rebuttal to those rebuttals, as well as a disclaimer about the disputed nature of the research paper itself. TheNewAmerican, "Vote Fraud Monitoring Group Says Three Million Noncitizens Voted in Presidential Election," Nov. 14, 2016 Non-citizen votes likely gave Senate Democrats the pivotal 60th vote needed to overcome filibusters in order to pass health care reform and other Obama administration priorities in the 111th Congress. “Methodological Challenges Affect Study of Non-Citizens’ Voting.” 21 September 2014. Of 339 non-citizens identified in the 2008 survey, Catalyst matched 140 to a commercial (e.g. Even Democrats should find this troubling; every vote cast by a noncitizen voter negates the vote of a citizen voter. In 2012, as many as 3.6 million voted, the study said. We find that some non-citizens participate in U.S. elections, and that this participation has been large enough to change meaningful election outcomes including Electoral College votes, and Congressional elections. 19 June 2017. This is because illegal immigrants often claim they are citizens in order to conceal the fact that they are in the U.S. illegally. My impression is that this is what Mr. Agresti has done.
No one will stop you. Ansolabehere, Stephen. This study examines participation rates by non-citizens using a nationally representative sample that includes non-citizen immigrants. The bombshell was this: "Noncitizen votes likely gave Senate Democrats the pivotal 60th vote needed to overcome filibusters in order to pass health care reform and other Obama administration priorities in the 111th Congress.". Non-citizen voting likely changed 2008 outcomes including Electoral College votes and the composition of Congress. 27 October 2014. In 2008, as many as 5.7 million noncitizens voted in the election. The U.S. The problems with this approach are evidenced by the absurdly large possible range Richman and later Agresti collectively came up with from the same data (38,000 to 5.7 million illegal votes). Electoral Studies. '+arguments[1].video:'')+"/?url="+encodeURIComponent(location.href)+"&args="+encodeURIComponent(JSON.stringify([].slice.apply(arguments))),e.parentNode.insertBefore(l,e)}})}(window, document, "script", "Rumble"); Rumble("play", {"video": "v5capj","div": "rumble_v5capj","autoplay":2}); A more accurate tweet, if it could fit, might be: The Washington Times is reporting that a web site named “JustFacts.com” has concluded that a widely-discredited 2014 study arguing up to 2.8 million non-citizens voted in the 2008 presidential election (based on the extrapolation of 38 survey responses from people who may have voted as non-citizens) has been unfairly debunked by “liberal fact checkers” and that, in reality, the number could be as high as 5.7 million. To further raise the possibility that this kind of error could have happened and could be significant, Schaffner and his colleagues went back and re-interviewed people in the survey using data from 2010, telling us: In 2012, we re-interviewed 19,000 people who had been respondents for the 2010 CCES. Based on these suppositions, of the 19 misclassified people, we expect 13 (70%) to be incorrectly determined to be non-citizen voters while 0 correctly classified non-citizens would be voters. Straight-faced claims that there is material evidence for up to 5.7 million non-citizen votes in 2008 are remarkable, given that the study commonly cited as the basis for this claim has provided material evidence for five (not even six!) And last year, the Obama White House supported a court injunction that kept Kansas, Alabama and Georgia from requiring proof of citizenship to register to vote.
If extrapolating to a number based from Internet survey response data from a pool of 339 non-citizens into the millions sounds problematic to you, you are not alone. […]. Widely shared social media posts, based on news reports, accused the former New Jersey governor of dirty tricks. “Learning from Small Subsamples without Cherry Picking: The Case of Non-Citizen Registration and Voting.” [Working Paper]
Although such participation is a violation of election laws in most parts of the United States, enforcement depends principally on disclosure of citizenship status at the time of voter registration. Now comes a new study by Just Facts, a libertarian/conservative think tank, that used data from a large Harvard/You.Gov study that every two years samples tens of thousands of voters, including some who admit they are noncitizens and thus can't vote legally. The only problem is, a study in 2014 in the online Electoral Studies Journal made a quite similar claim: In the 2008 and 2010 elections, they said, as many as 2.8 million illegal noncitizen votes were cast, "enough to change meaningful election outcomes including Electoral College votes and congressional elections," said the study, authored by Jesse T. Richman and Gushan A. Chattha, both of Old Dominion University, and David C. Earnest of George Mason University.
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